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Phoenix Multi Family Market Appears to be at 7 O’Clock

by Marc Brodeur on July 24, 2010

Phoenix Multi FamilyThe Phoenix Multi Family market appears to be at 7  O’clock. There are a lot of positive signs that the market has more than bottomed for Multi Family, locally and nationally. Phoenix Office Space, retail and commercial have a ways to go locally. The question is, is  it truly the bottom or a false bottom for multifamily? There is intense competition for “A” product multifamily which has pushed a lot of investors to look at “B” class. This increase in competition at the “B” level has now even pushed down into the “C” level product….and now the developers are starting to gear up for new builds. If that is NOT a sign the bottom has passed and we are on the way up. I don’t know what is.Phoenix Office Space

What about the horrific vacancy levels we see in some parts of the valley? Specifically the near west valley, with 20% vacancies. The short answer is….those who work in the Scottsdale Airpark (2nd largest employment area in Metro Phoenix) were never going to live in the West Valley, nor were people who work in the north or east valley.  Those are completely different markets. The reason the vacancy rate is 5-6% in north Scottsdale is because of its prime location relative to employment, shopping and recreational amenities.

Phoenix Commercial Real Estate in general is starting to turn as unemployment has leveled off. As new hires begin, they play immediately into office and industrial, shortly followed by multi family and last into retail. Due to the compressed cap rates and competition in multifamily, developers are now planning to build.  New build will not occur in the infill areas of the near West Valley where the vacancy rates are 20%. At least not until that area sees a decrease in vacancy and we see the wash out from the institution or lack thereof of SB 1070 (our immigration enforcement law). Its that simple. Its a big market, and the sub markets are truly unique individual markets. Some have turned the corner, others have a ways to go.
Marc Brodeur BS, DC
Commercial Realtor
Marc@PhoenixCommercialRealEstate.com
Direct (602) 692-4288
www.PhoenixCommercialRealEstate.com

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Copyright © 2010 by Marc Brodeur- All Rights Reserved- Phoenix Multi Family Market Appears to be at 7 O’Clock

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